LCA for Energy and Power Generation
Compare life cycle impacts of electricity generation technologies—from fossil fuels to renewables, nuclear, and emerging solutions.
Prerequisites:
LCA for Energy and Power Generation
Energy production is central to climate change and environmental sustainability. Life Cycle Assessment of electricity generation technologies reveals that impacts extend far beyond operational emissions—embodied carbon in infrastructure, fuel supply chains, and end-of-life considerations all matter significantly.
Why LCA for Energy?
Foundation of other LCAs: Electricity is an input to virtually every product and process. Energy LCA data forms the backbone of most LCI databases.
Technology comparison: Debates about nuclear vs. solar, wind vs. gas, and grid-scale storage require life cycle evidence.
Policy relevance: Energy policy decisions—subsidies, phase-outs, grid planning—benefit from comprehensive impact assessment.
Climate targets: Electricity decarbonization is essential for climate goals; LCA shows which pathways actually reduce emissions.
Emerging technologies: Hydrogen, carbon capture, and advanced renewables need life cycle evaluation before large-scale deployment.
Methodological Considerations
Functional Unit
Energy LCA typically uses:
Per unit of electricity: "1 kWh (or 1 MWh) of electricity delivered to the grid"
- Most common functional unit
- Doesn't account for dispatchability
Per unit of capacity: "1 MW of installed capacity over 25-year lifetime"
- Accounts for capacity factor differences
- Useful for infrastructure comparisons
System services: "1 MW of dispatchable capacity"
- Accounts for intermittency
- Requires storage/backup allocation
System Boundary Choices
| Stage | Typically Included | Often Excluded |
|---|---|---|
| Fuel extraction | ✓ | |
| Fuel processing | ✓ | |
| Fuel transport | ✓ | |
| Plant construction | ✓ | |
| Operation | ✓ | |
| Maintenance | Variable | |
| Decommissioning | Variable | ✓ |
| Waste management | ✓ (nuclear) | |
| Grid infrastructure | ✓ (usually excluded) |
Capacity Factor and Lifetime
Results are highly sensitive to utilization assumptions:
| Technology | Typical Capacity Factor | Typical Lifetime |
|---|---|---|
| Nuclear | 85-93% | 40-60 years |
| Coal | 40-85% | 40 years |
| Natural gas CCGT | 30-60% | 30 years |
| Wind (onshore) | 25-45% | 20-25 years |
| Wind (offshore) | 35-50% | 25-30 years |
| Solar PV (utility) | 15-30% | 25-30 years |
| Hydropower | 30-60% | 50-100 years |
Capacity factor dramatically affects life cycle impacts per kWh. A wind farm with 40% capacity factor has half the impacts per kWh of one with 20% capacity factor, all else equal. Location-specific assessment is essential.
Technology Profiles
Fossil Fuels
Coal
- Dominant impacts: Combustion CO₂ (80-90% of GWP)
- Other concerns: Mining impacts, ash disposal, mercury emissions
- Typical GWP: 800-1,200 g CO₂e/kWh
- Key variables: Plant efficiency, coal type, transport distance
Natural Gas (CCGT)
- Dominant impacts: Combustion CO₂ (70-80%), methane leakage (10-20%)
- Other concerns: Fracking impacts (unconventional), infrastructure
- Typical GWP: 400-550 g CO₂e/kWh
- Key variables: Methane leakage rate, plant efficiency
Oil
- Limited role: Primarily backup/islands
- Typical GWP: 700-900 g CO₂e/kWh
Methane Leakage
Methane leakage rates in natural gas systems are contentious. Industry estimates (0.5-1.5%) are often lower than independent measurements (2-3%+). This significantly affects gas power's life cycle GWP. Always document leakage assumptions.
Nuclear
Key characteristics:
- Very low operational emissions
- Significant construction and fuel cycle impacts
- Unique waste management requirements
- Long plant lifetimes
Impact distribution:
| Stage | GWP Share |
|---|---|
| Mining and enrichment | 30-50% |
| Construction | 20-40% |
| Operation | 5-15% |
| Decommissioning | 5-10% |
| Waste management | 5-15% |
Typical GWP: 5-25 g CO₂e/kWh
Methodological issues:
- Long time horizons complicate assessment
- Waste storage for millennia—how to account?
- Accident risk—included in LCA or separate risk assessment?
Wind Power
Onshore wind
- Typical GWP: 7-15 g CO₂e/kWh
- Dominant impacts: Tower and foundation (steel, concrete)
- Key variables: Capacity factor, turbine size, lifetime
Offshore wind
- Typical GWP: 10-25 g CO₂e/kWh
- Additional impacts: Foundation type, installation vessels, cables
- Higher capacity factors partially offset additional infrastructure
Impact distribution (typical):
| Component | GWP Share |
|---|---|
| Tower | 25-35% |
| Foundation | 15-25% |
| Nacelle | 20-30% |
| Blades | 10-15% |
| Installation | 5-10% |
| Cables/grid | 5-10% |
Solar Photovoltaics
Crystalline silicon (c-Si)
- Typical GWP: 20-50 g CO₂e/kWh
- Dominant impacts: Silicon purification, cell manufacturing
- Key variables: Manufacturing location (grid carbon), efficiency, lifetime
Thin-film (CdTe, CIGS)
- Typical GWP: 15-40 g CO₂e/kWh
- Lower energy manufacturing, but material concerns
Impact drivers:
| Factor | Impact on Results |
|---|---|
| Manufacturing grid | Very high (China vs. Europe) |
| Efficiency | High |
| System lifetime | High |
| Irradiance | Very high (location) |
| Balance of system | Moderate |
PV Location Matters
Solar PV manufactured in China (coal-heavy grid) and installed in Germany (low irradiance) has very different life cycle GWP than PV manufactured in Europe and installed in the Middle East. Location of both manufacturing and operation matters enormously.
Hydropower
Reservoir hydro
- Typical GWP: 4-30 g CO₂e/kWh (temperate)
- Tropical reservoirs: 100-2,000+ g CO₂e/kWh (methane from flooded biomass)
- Long lifetimes: 50-100+ years
Run-of-river
- Typical GWP: 2-10 g CO₂e/kWh
- Lower infrastructure impacts
Key issues:
- Tropical reservoir emissions (methane from decomposition)
- Ecosystem and land use impacts
- Social impacts (displacement)—not captured in standard LCA
Emerging Technologies
Hydrogen (for energy storage/transport)
- Green hydrogen (electrolysis + renewables): Low GWP but efficiency losses
- Grey hydrogen (SMR): High GWP (~10 kg CO₂/kg H₂)
- Blue hydrogen (SMR + CCS): Moderate GWP, depends on capture rate and methane leakage
Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)
- Reduces plant emissions 85-95%
- Energy penalty increases upstream impacts
- Storage permanence assumptions matter
Geothermal
- Typical GWP: 15-55 g CO₂e/kWh
- Varies with reservoir type and emissions
Comparative Results
GWP Summary (g CO₂e/kWh)
| Technology | Range | Median |
|---|---|---|
| Coal | 740-1,200 | 1,000 |
| Natural gas CCGT | 400-600 | 480 |
| Nuclear | 5-25 | 12 |
| Hydropower (temperate) | 4-30 | 18 |
| Hydropower (tropical) | 100-2,000 | Variable |
| Onshore wind | 7-15 | 11 |
| Offshore wind | 10-25 | 15 |
| Solar PV | 20-50 | 40 |
| Geothermal | 15-55 | 38 |
Ranges reflect variation in technology, location, and methodology. Based on IPCC and peer-reviewed literature.
Beyond Climate Change
| Technology | Resource Use | Land Use | Water Use | Toxicity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coal | Moderate | Moderate | High | High |
| Gas | Moderate | Low | Moderate | Moderate |
| Nuclear | Moderate | Low | High | Moderate |
| Wind | Moderate | Moderate | Very low | Low |
| Solar PV | High | Moderate | Very low | Moderate |
| Hydro | Low | High | N/A | Low |
Grid-Level Analysis
Average vs. Marginal Emissions
Average grid emissions: Total emissions / total generation
- Used for attributional LCA
- Represents the grid as it currently exists
Marginal grid emissions: Emissions from the next kWh produced
- Used for consequential LCA
- Represents what happens when demand increases
Marginal emissions are often higher than average (gas peakers, coal plants operate at margins) but this varies by time, season, and grid.
Time-Dependent Impacts
Grid emissions vary significantly by:
- Time of day (solar peaks midday, wind varies)
- Season (heating/cooling loads)
- Year (grid evolves toward decarbonization)
For use-phase impacts (EVs, heat pumps), time-dependent assessment may be more appropriate than annual averages.
Data Sources
Key Databases and Resources
| Resource | Coverage | Access |
|---|---|---|
| ecoinvent | Comprehensive energy processes | Paid |
| NREL LCA Harmonization | Harmonized renewable energy LCA | Free |
| IEA | Global energy statistics | Subscription |
| IPCC AR6 | Technology assessment summaries | Free |
| EPA eGRID | US electricity emissions | Free |
| Electricity Maps | Real-time grid emissions | Freemium |
NREL LCA Harmonization Project
NREL conducted systematic harmonization of published LCAs for major technologies, providing consistent comparison by:
- Standardizing capacity factors, lifetimes, and boundaries
- Identifying sources of variation
- Providing harmonized ranges for policy use
Key Takeaways
- Renewable and nuclear technologies have order-of-magnitude lower life cycle GWP than fossil fuels
- Capacity factor and lifetime are critical—location-specific assessment is essential
- Manufacturing location matters significantly for solar PV
- Tropical hydropower can have high emissions from reservoir methane
- Methane leakage assumptions are critical for natural gas assessment
- Grid-level analysis requires distinguishing average from marginal impacts
- Non-climate impacts (land, water, materials) vary differently than climate impacts
Resource List
Key Publications
- IPCC AR6 WG III, Chapter 6 (Energy Systems)
- NREL Life Cycle Assessment Harmonization Project
- UNECE Life Cycle Assessment of Electricity Generation Options
Data and Tools
Organizations
Energy LCA is foundational to most other assessments. When using electricity in product LCAs, ensure the grid mix matches your manufacturing and use locations.